In re: Jat support for the BJP in Western Uttar Pradesh 

The BJP has a more committed core Jat vote bank in Western Uttar Pradesh than in Haryana. There are two simple reasons for this:

1.     Haryana doesn't have a significant presence of Muslims in its politics - they are concentrated in Mewat with some presence in Yamunanagar & pockets elsewhere. So polarization is difficult. This is different from Western UP where Muslims are in significant numbers.

2.     While Jats believe that Chief Minister's post is rightfully theirs in Haryana, such a sentiment doesn't exist in Uttar Pradesh. They tend to be aware of the fact that Lucknow is far away, their numbers are fewer & that Ch. Charan Singh was a leader beyond caste - didn't get to Lucknow because he was a Jat.